Is Australia heading for its first major recession in over 30 years?

Published

3 years ago

July 4, 2023

The path to a soft landing is a narrow one, or so the RBA keeps telling us. But what are the actual risks facing the economy?

Prices in Australia have begun falling for consumers in a few key areas according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI).

May’s CPI showed inflation fell to 5 and a half per cent for the month – down from 6.8 per cent a month earlier.

The Reserve Bank has been raising interest rates to try and bring that figure down even further.

Aside from a brief pause to this campaign in April, the country’s cash rate is at its highest point since 2012 – at 4.1 percent.

And the Bank’s Governor Philip Lowe is under the pump for that decision acknowledging that high interest rates do cause economic hardship for people in their own right.

However, he says the pain of stubborn inflation can sting even worse for everyday people, and the RBA could be set to raise the cash rate even further on Tuesday.

But many economists argue this strategy also raises the risks of bringing Australia into its first recession since 1990.

That record may be the envy of the world, but it could soon be broken.

The Commonwealth Bank is the only one of Australia’s Big Four banks to believe that the RBA will not raise interest rates on Tuesday.

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Commodities surge as oil volatility and metals hit record highs

Oil prices fluctuate due to geopolitical tensions; precious metals soar amid inflation concerns, sparking a commodities rally.

Published

2 days ago

January 16, 2026

Harvey Vargas

Oil prices fluctuate due to geopolitical tensions; precious metals soar amid inflation concerns, sparking a commodities rally.

Global commodities are on the move, with oil prices swinging sharply as geopolitical tensions involving Iran fuel uncertainty across energy markets. Traders are closely watching supply risks and political flashpoints, driving short-term volatility.

Precious metals are stealing the spotlight, pushing to record highs as investors seek safety amid inflation concerns, interest-rate uncertainty and rising global risk. At the same time, industrial metals are surging, supported by demand expectations and tightening supply.

To unpack what this means for markets and investors, we’re joined by Kyle Rodda from Capital.com to break down the key drivers behind this powerful commodities rally.

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#Commodities #OilPrices #Gold #Metals #MarketVolatility #Geopolitics #Investing #TickerNews

Money

Stocks slide and Trump cancels talks: What’s next for markets and Greenland?

U.S. stocks dip; S&P 500 down 0.9%, as investors react to weak bank earnings and market volatility.

Published

3 days ago

January 15, 2026

Harvey Vargas

U.S. stocks dip; S&P 500 down 0.9%, as investors react to weak bank earnings and market volatility.

U.S. stocks fell for a second day on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.9% and the Dow Jones losing 164 points. Investors are reassessing record-high levels as major banks report weaker-than-expected earnings.

Wells Fargo shares tumbled more than 5% after disappointing revenue results, while Bank of America is down roughly 7% week to date. Citigroup and Wells Fargo have both seen declines of about 8%, highlighting volatility in the banking sector.

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#StockMarket #SP500 #DowJones #BankEarnings #TrumpNews #Iran #Greenland #Geopolitics

Money

U.S. budget deficit falls to $1.67 trillion

US budget deficit falls to $1.67 trillion amid tariffs; implications of corporate taxes and Supreme Court rulings discussed.

Published

3 days ago

January 15, 2026

Harvey Vargas

US budget deficit falls to $1.67 trillion amid tariffs; implications of corporate taxes and Supreme Court rulings discussed.

The US budget deficit has dropped to $1.67 trillion in 2025, the lowest in three years, driven by record customs revenue from President Donald Trump’s tariffs. While this marks a positive shift for the economy, challenges loom with potential Supreme Court rulings on tariffs and falling corporate tax receipts.

David Scutt from StoneX explains the key factors behind the decline in the deficit and what December’s figures reveal about the overall fiscal health of the US.

We also explore the potential implications of upcoming Supreme Court decisions and how the One Big Beautiful Bill Act could impact future deficits. Stay informed on what these changes mean for the economy and markets.

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#USBudget #DeficitUpdate #TrumpTariffs #FiscalPolicy #Economy2025 #SupremeCourtImpact #CorporateTaxes #FinancialNews