Connect with us
https://tickernews.co/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/AmEx-Thought-Leaders.jpg

Money

The ASX’s rookie error is just the latest of many blunders and investors are losing confidence

Published

on

The ASX’s rookie error is just the latest of many blunders. Investors are losing confidence

Angel Zhong, RMIT University

It was the latest blow to the credibility of the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This time, the nation’s stock exchange mixed up two company names in an error that briefly wiped A$400 million off the market value of our third biggest telco, TPG Telecom.

On Wednesday morning, the ASX mistakenly linked TPG Telecom Limited to a market announcement involving a completely different company — TPG Capital Asia. This US-owned, private equity giant just revealed a A$651 million takeover of the software firm Infomedia.

The ASX’s error led investors to believe TPG Telecom was making an acquisition outside its sector. Automatic trading algorithms also kicked in. Within minutes, TPG Telecom’s stock plunged nearly 5% before the ASX halted trading. The damage was done.

The ASX later described the mistake as “an inadvertent human error”.

The exchange moved quickly to cancel trades executed during the 15-minute error window. But the incident has reignited longstanding concerns about the ASX’s operational resilience and governance, and the fragility of investor confidence.

In a market where milliseconds matter, even a minor error can have major consequences.

A pattern of failure

This latest blunder is far from an isolated incident. It’s the culmination of years of operational failures that would be unacceptable in any other critical infrastructure sector.

An outage related to the ASX’s ageing platform for clearing and settling trades in December 2024 stands as perhaps the most serious breach of market confidence. The system couldn’t complete basic settlement processes.

This prompted unprecedented intervention from the regulators. The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) and the Reserve Bank of Australia expressed “deep concerns” about these “repeated and serious failures” in the exchange’s trading infrastructure.

This came on top of the botched replacement project for the ASX’s platform known as CHESS. The upgrade remains years behind schedule and hundreds of millions over budget. These events expose fundamental weaknesses in technical capabilities.

TPG Telecom: collateral damage in a system failure

For TPG Telecom, this was an uninvited PR disaster. The company didn’t seek the spotlight, but the ASX error has placed it under the microscope. While its fundamentals haven’t changed, the incident has heightened scrutiny of its strategy, debt levels and market positioning.

Academic research in finance shows exogenous shocks (unexpected external events) beyond a firm’s control can lead to disproportionate attention from investors and analysts. Once a stock becomes the focus of media and market chatter, questions that might have remained on the margins become front and centre.

This kind of exposure can be both a risk and an opportunity.

If the company is seen as opaque or unprepared, it risks reputational damage. But it also has a chance to build investor trust through strong, transparent communication. In today’s markets, how a company responds under pressure matters as much as the trigger itself.

Competition for the ASX

What’s becoming increasingly clear is that Australia needs more than a reliable exchange. It needs competition, accountability and innovation. The ASX’s dominance in trading and post-trade services has long frustrated market participants.

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission’s announcement this week about boosting competition to the ASX couldn’t be more timely.

ASIC said it is considering plans to strengthen the alternative trading exchange Cboe Australia in a bid to improve resilience and innovation. Launched in 2011 as Chi-X, Cboe now claims around 20% of daily share trading volume.

News of increased competition helped to send ASX’s own shares down 11% in early trade on Thursday before ending at 8.6% down.

Australia has a persistent problem with concentrated markets, from banking to telecommunications to supermarkets. The ASX monopoly follows the same pattern: limited competition can breed complacency.

The message is clear: trust in infrastructure must be earned, not assumed. The ASX must now prove it deserves its dominant role in Australia’s financial system, or risk losing it.

Trust is the real currency of markets

The TPG trading error is more than a technical mishap. It is a warning. Financial markets depend on trust in price accuracy, infrastructure reliability, and timely, transparent responses when things go wrong.

Repeated failures undermine this trust. If investors begin to question the accuracy of what they see on the trading screen, or the ability of the system to recover from mistakes, the risk isn’t just reputational. It’s systemic.

In academic terms, this is a textbook case of what’s known as “market microstructure friction” in the trading of stocks or bonds. This means the plumbing of the financial system breaks down and distorts outcomes. But for the average investor, it’s simpler: if the exchange can’t get the basics right, how can we trust the prices or the market?

The ASX now faces a crisis of credibility. If trust is the currency of markets, it’s one the exchange can no longer afford to spend lightly. For regulators, investors and listed firms, this could be a turning point towards a more competitive, resilient and accountable trading environment.The Conversation

Angel Zhong, Professor of Finance, RMIT University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Continue Reading

Money

RBA stands pat on interest rates as hopes dim for future cuts

Published

on

RBA stands pat on interest rates as hopes dim for future cuts

Stella Huangfu, University of Sydney

The Reserve Bank kept the cash rate steady at 3.6% at today’s meeting. In its post-meeting statement, the central bank said the monetary policy board

judged that it was appropriate to remain cautious.

This pause follows three cuts earlier this year — in February, May and August, each by 25 basis points — which lowered the cash rate from 4.1% to its current level. Governor Michele Bullock said the bank is watching those previous cuts work through the economy.

Bullock stressed that while inflation has eased from its peak, progress remains uneven, and the bank is not ready to declare victory.

For now, patience is the safer course. The next big test will be the September quarter inflation report, due at the end of October. That release will go a long way to deciding whether cuts resume later this year or slip into 2026. Market pricing, once confident of a November move, now sees the odds as little better than a coin toss.

“By the next meeting in November, we’ll have more data on the labour market and inflation data for the September quarter,” Bullock told a press conference after the meeting.

Why the RBA is waiting

The monthly consumer price index (CPI) for August showed annual inflation rising to 3.0%, up from 2.8% in July. Although this is a 12-month high, much of the increase came from the expiry of electricity rebates — a temporary factor the bank had already anticipated.

Bullock has repeatedly said the Reserve Bank puts more weight on the quarterly “trimmed mean” inflation measure — a point she emphasised most recently before the House of Representatives economics committee. This measure strips out one-off price swings and gives a clearer picture of underlying inflation.

Even so, the monthly figures show the annual trimmed mean edged down from 2.7% in July to 2.6% in August. That suggests the underlying trend remains one of gradual disinflation (a slowing in the pace of price increases), despite the lift in the headline rate.

Bullock told reporters:

The monthly data are volatile […] I don’t want to suggest that inflation is running away, but we just need to be a little bit cautious.

Progress is not yet secure. Inflation must stay within the 2–3% target range on a sustained basis before the Reserve Bank can cut with confidence. Moving too early risks undoing hard-won gains and forcing harsher measures later.



Other data reinforce this cautious approach. June quarter economic growth surprised on the upside, showing the economy is more resilient than expected. Meanwhile, unemployment has ticked higher but remains low, pointing to a labour market that is cooling only gradually.

As the statement noted,

private consumption is picking up as real household incomes rise […] The housing market is strengthening […] Credit is readily available to both households and businesses.

Together, these signals give the Reserve Bank space to pause rather than rush into easing.

A big shift in expectations

The major banks have also adjusted their forecasts. NAB has ruled out any further move this year, dropping its earlier forecasts for November and February cuts and now expecting the next reduction in May 2026. Westpac still expects a November cut, but acknowledges the timing could slip.

Financial markets have also pared back their bets. Pricing once implied near-certainty of a November cut, but that probability has now fallen to roughly 50-50.

The September quarter consumer price index will be decisive: a softer result could revive expectations of an earlier cut, while a stronger one would reinforce the view that rate cuts will not resume until 2026.

With the economy stronger than forecast and CPI a touch higher, both banks and markets are pushing out the timing of cuts. The Reserve Bank’s message is clear: inflation must show sustained progress before policy can be eased. Until then, the next cut is a matter of when, not if.

Rates around the world

The Reserve Bank is not alone in being cautious. In the United States, the Federal Reserve delivered three cuts in 2024, but only made its first cut of 2025 in September. The European Central Bank has reduced rates four times this year, but has kept policy steady since June.

Political tensions, volatile energy prices and fragile global growth all add to the uncertainty, reinforcing the case for patience in Australia.

For households, today’s decision offers no relief. Mortgage repayments remain at an elevated level and consumer spending is weak.

Looking ahead, the Reserve Bank said it will remain data-driven and responsive to risks:

The Board will be attentive to the data […] focused on its mandate to deliver price stability and full employment and will do what it considers necessary to achieve that outcome.

For households, that means the wait for relief goes on. The next move is a cut, but today’s decision makes clear it won’t be rushed.The Conversation

Stella Huangfu, Associate Professor, School of Economics, University of Sydney

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Continue Reading

Money

Markets remain strong amid potential government shutdown fears

Markets remain strong as investors anticipate jobs data while ignoring government shutdown and tariff concerns

Published

on

Markets remain strong as investors anticipate jobs data while ignoring government shutdown and tariff concerns

video
play-sharp-fill
In Short:
– Major indices are near session highs, with the Dow up 382 points and resilient to shutdown concerns.
– Rising Treasury yields may challenge bullish sentiment, while upcoming economic reports will influence market direction.
Major indices are trading near session highs, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up by 382 points, the S&P 500 by 41 points, and the Nasdaq Composite by 100 points.
Investors seem undeterred by the looming government shutdown and new tariff announcements. Despite the challenges, markets appear resilient due to previous experiences with shutdowns.Banner

This coming week, markets should brace for monthly jobs data, assuming no shutdown occurs. Previous initial claims reports have lessened after reaching 263,000 on September 11.

Technical indicators show promise following a retreat to the 20-day SMA. The end of bearish seasonality approaches, coinciding with Q3 earnings season.

Market Perspective

However, rising Treasury yields could pose a challenge for bullish sentiment. The 10-year yield has increased over the past eight trading sessions and may close at a three-week peak.

If it stays below 4.25%, it could support ongoing bullish trends. A notable risk remains the potential negative impact of the jobs report.

Upcoming economic reports include pending home sales, consumer confidence, and nonfarm payrolls, all key to market direction.


Download the Ticker app

Continue Reading

Money

Crypto market plummets near $1 billion in liquidations

Crypto markets crash as liquidations approach $1 billion, marking a severe downturn in September 2025

Published

on

Crypto markets crash as liquidations approach $1 billion, marking a severe downturn in September 2025

video
play-sharp-fill
In Short:
– Cryptocurrency markets declined significantly, with liquidations nearing $1 billion and Bitcoin below $110,000.
– $442 million in positions were liquidated on Thursday, with Ethereum most affected, raising trader concerns.
Cryptocurrency markets faced significant declines on Thursday, with liquidations nearing $1 billion, contributing to a larger selloff that has cost the sector over $160 billion in market capitalisation.
Bitcoin fell below $110,000, trading around $111,400, while Ethereum dipped below the critical $4,000 support level, marking its lowest point in seven weeks.
The global crypto market capitalisation dropped by 2.2% to $3.91 trillion.Banner

Liquidation reports revealed that $442 million in positions were forcibly closed on Thursday, with Ethereum most affected, accounting for over $180 million.

The previous week saw a larger liquidation event, with $1.7 billion wiped out. Traders are concerned as a significant number of long positions were liquidated in this downturn.

Market Trends

Market analysts highlight a pattern of leveraged trading leading to cascading selloffs. Seasonal factors, regulatory uncertainty, and a strengthening US dollar contributed to the declines.

Despite the downturn, some large investors are taking the opportunity to accumulate assets.


Download the Ticker app

Continue Reading

Trending Now