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Uncertain times ahead – the changing landscape of global order

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As the world grapples with shifting global dynamics, many are speculating whether the leadership of the world order is transitioning from the United States to China.

But the real threat is actually much worse than that.

A more plausible outcome might be the emergence of growing political disorder and potential anarchy on the global stage.

Countries such as the United States, Japan, and several Western nations are expressing concerns about the possible erosion of the carefully crafted “rules-based world order” that has been in place since the aftermath of World War II.

Growth and prosperity

This international political framework has played a pivotal role in fostering unprecedented economic growth and prosperity, particularly for China, which is now challenging the very order it benefited from.

Several factors contribute to the threat facing the rules-based world order:

1. The Ascendancy of China:

China’s state capitalism model has not only fueled its domestic prosperity but has also allowed the Chinese Communist Party to tighten control over its society.

China has sought to expand its influence globally, most notably through initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative.

China’s aspirations include securing prominent leadership roles within the United Nations, contradicting earlier hopes that it would evolve into a more open and pluralistic nation.

Claims of China becoming a responsible stakeholder in the world order now seem to be primarily propaganda.

2. U.S. Withdrawal from Global Leadership:

The United States, under the leadership of Donald Trump, initiated a significant shift away from its traditional role as a leader in the global order.

Trump’s decisions included withdrawing from international organizations such as the World Health Organization, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and the Iran nuclear deal.

His administration also undermined institutions like NATO and the WTO and strained relationships with key allies.

Blaming China

When the COVID-19 pandemic struck, the U.S. chose to downplay the pandemic’s significance and focus on blaming China, a departure from the nation’s historical commitment to promoting democracy and global cooperation.

3. Western Reluctance to Share Power:

Western nations have been hesitant to allocate adequate representation and influence within the rules-based order to emerging powers. This reluctance undermines the order’s credibility and fairness.

For example, France and the United Kingdom continue to maintain their permanent United Nations Security Council seats, preventing more deserving nations like India and Brazil from obtaining similar positions.

The United States’ refusal to join the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, an initiative led by China, and its pressure on allies to follow suit is another example of this resistance to accommodate emerging powers.

Despite China’s significant contribution to the global economy (around 18%), its voting share in the International Monetary Fund remains disproportionately low (approximately 6%).

What happens next?

1. Resurgence of the U.S.:

While the U.S. has faced criticism and a loss of global trust in recent years due to events such as the Iraq and Afghanistan wars and the 2008/09 Global Financial Crisis, President Biden’s administration represents a return to more conventional global leadership.

However, even with a more cooperative approach, achieving satisfactory outcomes for complex global issues remains uncertain.

The possibility of a return to Trump-style leadership or a divided U.S. Congress could cast shadows over the future of the world order.

2. China’s Role:

China’s ascent to global leadership is challenged by domestic economic issues, international concerns about its coercive behavior, and limited diplomatic friendships.

Initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative have faced obstacles and criticism.

China’s actions have the potential to undermine its own rise on the global stage.

3. Managing Complexities:

In today’s geopolitical landscape, finding definitive solutions to global challenges is increasingly elusive. Instead, the best approach may be to “manage” these issues to maintain a semblance of stability.

Achieving a balance of power between liberal and illiberal forces will be crucial for maintaining order.

However, this task is complicated in a world where conflicts can manifest through various means, including cyberattacks, economic pressures, and information warfare.

Ahron Young is an award winning journalist who has covered major news events around the world. Ahron is the Managing Editor and Founder of TICKER NEWS.

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Ukraine presents US-backed peace proposal to Russia

Ukraine presents US-backed peace proposal to Russia amid ongoing drone strikes and escalating tensions

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Ukraine presents US-backed peace proposal to Russia amid ongoing drone strikes and escalating tensions

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In Short:
– Ukrainian President Zelenskyy offered a 20-point peace proposal to Russia to end the four-year war.
– The plan requires Russian troop withdrawal and includes NATO-like security guarantees for Ukraine’s defence.

Ukraine has formally presented a US-backed 20-point peace proposal to Russia, offering a potential framework to end the nearly four-year war. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy unveiled the revised plan on December 23 after weeks of negotiations with American officials and formally delivered it to the Kremlin on December 24. The proposal includes NATO-style security guarantees, demilitarized zones in eastern Ukraine, and other measures designed to secure Ukraine’s sovereignty while reducing the risk of future conflict.

Under the plan, Ukraine would maintain a peacetime force of 800,000 troops and remain a non-nuclear state, with “Article 5-like” guarantees from the United States, NATO, and European partners. Territorial arrangements would require Russian forces to withdraw from parts of Dnipropetrovsk, Mykolaiv, Sumy, and Kharkiv regions. Zelenskyy also floated the creation of demilitarized “free economic zones” in parts of Donetsk Oblast, but only if Russian troops pull back as well. One of the most contentious issues remains the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, with the US proposing joint management by Ukraine, Russia, and the US, while Zelenskyy countered with a Ukraine-US partnership giving Americans oversight of their allocated energy share.

Fragile reality

Even as peace efforts advanced, the conflict raged on. On Christmas night, Russia launched 131 drones across Ukraine, with 106 intercepted by Ukrainian forces but 22 hitting 15 locations. The attacks killed at least two people and caused widespread power outages in several regions. The strikes highlighted the fragile reality of negotiations, showing that the road to peace remains perilous.

Moscow has confirmed that President Vladimir Putin has been briefed on the proposal, though Russian officials have repeatedly rejected key provisions, including NATO-style security guarantees and territorial concessions. The agreement would be overseen by a Peace Council chaired by US President Donald Trump, with violations triggering automatic sanctions. Ratification would require either approval by Ukraine’s parliament or a nationwide referendum within 60 days, with a full ceasefire taking effect immediately once all parties accept the deal.

The plan represents the most comprehensive effort yet to bring Ukraine and Russia to the negotiating table, balancing security guarantees, territorial compromises, and oversight of strategic infrastructure. However, with ongoing attacks and deeply entrenched positions on both sides, analysts warn that achieving lasting peace will require unprecedented diplomacy and international cooperation.


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Newly unsealed Epstein emails raise questions about Prince Andrew

Epstein emails implicate Prince Andrew in inappropriate conduct as pressure mounts for his cooperation with U.S. authorities

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Epstein emails implicate Prince Andrew in inappropriate conduct as pressure mounts for his cooperation with U.S. authorities

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In Short:
– The U.S. Justice Department released documents showing Ghislaine Maxwell’s emails linking Prince Andrew to Jeffrey Epstein.
– Andrew denies involvement with Epstein, settling a lawsuit without admitting guilt amidst rising scrutiny.

Nearly 30,000 pages of Jeffrey Epstein-related documents were released by the U.S. Justice Department, including emails from 2001 between Ghislaine Maxwell and an individual signing as “A” from Balmoral. One email, signed “The Invisible Man,” asked Maxwell for “new inappropriate friends,” sparking renewed scrutiny of Prince Andrew’s connections.

Subsequent evidence suggests the sender may have been Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, referencing personal details consistent with his life, including the death of his longtime valet and leaving the Royal Navy. A 2002 email further described “Andrew” as a “very English-sounding gentleman” coordinating a trip to Peru with requests for specific companions.

The documents reveal that U.S. prosecutors sought to interview Mountbatten-Windsor over two criminal investigations, citing evidence he engaged in sexual conduct involving one of Epstein’s victims. Despite mounting pressure and losing his royal titles, he has denied wrongdoing, settling a civil lawsuit without admitting guilt.


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Pope Leo XIV addresses Gaza crisis during Christmas Mass

Pope Leo XIV highlights Gaza humanitarian crisis during first Christmas Mass, urging dialogue and addressing severe conditions for displaced Palestinians

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Pope Leo XIV highlights Gaza humanitarian crisis during the first Christmas Mass, urging dialogue and addressing severe conditions for displaced Palestinians

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In Short:
– Pope Leo XIV urged awareness of the Gaza crisis and the hardships faced by Palestinians during his Christmas Mass.
– He expressed concern for global homelessness and called for dialogue as essential for achieving peace.

Pope Leo XIV used his first Christmas Mass at St. Peter’s Basilica to deliver a powerful and deeply human message, placing the humanitarian crisis in Gaza at the centre of his inaugural Christmas address. Drawing on the story of Jesus’ birth, the pontiff made a stark comparison to the lives of displaced Palestinians, asking how the world could ignore families living in tents, exposed to weeks of rain, wind and cold. His remarks set an early tone for his papacy — one grounded in compassion, moral urgency and advocacy for those caught in conflict.

Massive shortfall

The Pope’s comments come as conditions in Gaza continue to deteriorate sharply. An estimated 1.3 million Palestinians are in urgent need of shelter this winter, with recent storms destroying approximately 110,000 tents. Humanitarian organisations report deaths due to exposure among vulnerable groups, including children and the elderly. The Norwegian Refugee Council says just 15,600 tents have been delivered so far, leaving a massive shortfall, while restrictions on the entry of shelter materials have compounded the crisis and intensified suffering across the region.

Beyond Gaza, Leo widened his message to condemn the broader toll of war, speaking of the “fragile flesh of defenceless populations” harmed by global conflicts. He criticised those who send young soldiers into battle and stressed that peace can only be achieved through dialogue, not entrenched monologues. “There will be peace when our monologues are interrupted,” he said, urging leaders to recognise the humanity of the other. His upcoming Urbi et Orbi blessing is expected to address multiple global crises, reinforcing his diplomatic approach and his call for peace, solidarity and human dignity.


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