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Post Market Wrap | Iress not to proceed with divestment of UK Mortgages business

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This Post Market Wrap is presented by KOSEC – Kodari Securities

  • Iress not to proceed with divestment of UK Mortgages business
  • Prospective purchasers‘ valuations fell short of price expectations
  • Mortgage business to be retained
  • 2022 outlook reaffirmed; Underlying Net Profit After Tax up by 25-37 percent
  • Underlying 2022 Earnings Per Share 40 to 44 cents.
  • Strong profit outlook to 2025 reaffirmed. 

IRESS Limited (Iress or the Company) provides core operating systems to the stockbroking, wealth management and institutional funds management industries. The Company provides software and services for trading and market data, financial advice, investment management, mortgages superannuation, life and pensions and data intelligence. It employs 2300 people, and its software and data feeds are used by 10,000 businesses and 500,000 users globally. The company operates in Australia, the United Kingdom, Europe, South Africa and Canada.

Mortgage business retained

The Mortgage business divestment process has come to an end after prospective purchasers’ valuations fell short of the Board’s price expectations. This follows a Board led strategy review in 2021 where it was determined that higher returns could be achieved under new ownership. This would enable the sale proceeds to be redeployed to enhance returns to Iress shareholders. 

During the sale process, the Board observed that global market volatility increased, and technology company valuations declined. 

Just two months ago, on 17 February, the Board stated their Mortgage business was performing well with 2 more projects completed in the year and a strong and growing new sales pipeline. The Board added that the Company is assessing the potential to divest the business and distribute proceeds to shareholders. 

Today the Board have concluded that the best outcome for shareholders, clients and people is for Iress to retain the business. The Chief Executive commented: “The Mortgages business continues to perform strongly, contributing £16.1m of revenue and £6.4m of net profit after tax in 2021. In recent months, Mortgages has increased its pipeline of opportunities as lenders demand greater scale, efficiency and automation in mortgage processing.”

Image: File

2022 outlook reaffirmed

Full year 2022 earnings guidance has been reaffirmed, although the earnings estimate now includes the Mortgages business. The full year 2022 Underlying Net Profit After Tax (NPAT) is estimated to grow by 25-37 percent. This translates to an estimated Earnings Per Share guidance of 40 to 44 cents. 

Earnings estimates out to 2025 remain unchanged. Including the Mortgages business, NPAT is has been estimated to be in the range of $120 million to $135 million. The Company also disclosed that despite the Mortgage business not being divested, the $100 million share buy-back program currently underway, will be completed as planned. 

It is noteworthy that the NPAT contribution from the Mortgage business in 2025 is estimated at 13 percent of total NPAT of the Company. This is a slight decline from 17 percent of NPAT, in 2022.

Importantly, the decision not to pursue the sale of the Mortgages business has not altered the medium-term earnings outlook of Iress. The Company continues to exhibit annual earnings growth rates of more than 20 percent per annum out to 2024 and an estimated 12.5 percent in 2025. 

The Company’s 2025 Underlying NPAT target (including Mortgages) is estimated at $135 million. This compares to NPAT of $73.8 million recorded in the 2021 financial year.

This Post Market Wrap is presented by Kodari Securities, written by Michael Kodari, CEO at KOSEC.

"Michael Kodari is one of the world's most consistent, top performing investor. A philanthropist and one of the prominent experts of the financial markets, he has been referred to as ‘the brightest 21st century entrepreneur in wealth management' by CNBC Asia and featured on Forbes. Featured on TV as the "Money Expert", on the weekly Sunday program "Elevator Pitch", he is recognised internationally by governments as he was the guest of honour for the event "Inside China's Future", chosen by the Chinese government from the funds management industry, attended by industry leaders, when they arrived in Sydney Australia, on April 2014. Michael and George Soros were the only two financiers in the world invited and chosen by the Chinese government to provide advice, and their expertise on Chinese government asset allocation offshore. With a strong background in funds management and stockbroking, Michael has worked with some of the most successful investors and consulted to leading financial institutions. He was the youngest person ever to appear on the expert panel for Fox, Sky News Business Channel at the age of 25 where he demonstrated his skillset across a 3 year period forming the most consistent track record and getting all his predictions right over that period. Michael writes for key financial publications, is regularly interviewed by various media and conducts conferences around the world."

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Money

Fed cuts rates, signals more potentially ahead

Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

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Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

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In Short:
– The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter-point to address job market concerns.
– Officials expect at least two additional rate cuts by year-end amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
The Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates by a quarter-point, addressing concerns about a weakening job market overshadowing inflation worries.
A majority of officials anticipate at least two additional cuts by year-end during the remaining meetings in October and December.Banner

Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted a significant shift in the labour market, highlighting “downside risk” in his statements.

The recent rate cut, supported by 11 of 12 Fed voters, aims to recalibrate an economy facing uncertainties from policy changes and market pressures.

Policy Dynamics

The decision comes amid intense political scrutiny, with President Trump openly criticising Powell’s reluctance to lower rates.

Despite the controversy, Powell asserts that political pressures do not influence Fed operations.

The current benchmark federal-funds rate now sits between 4% and 4.25%, the lowest since 2021, providing some reprieve to consumers and small businesses. Economic forecasts indicate ongoing complexities, including inflation trends and the impact of tariffs on labour dynamics, complicating future policy decisions.


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Money

Fed faces unusual dissent amid leadership uncertainty

Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

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Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

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In Short:
– This week’s Federal Reserve meeting faces unusual dissent as Chair Powell approaches his term’s end.
– Analysts predict dissent over expected rate cuts due to political pressures from Trump-appointed officials.
This week’s Federal Reserve meeting is set to be particularly unusual, with Chair Jerome Powell facing significant disagreements over future policy as he approaches the end of his term in May.Tensions began before the meeting when Fed governor Lisa Cook won a court ruling allowing her to attend, despite opposition from President Trump, who is attempting to remove her.

The situation is further complicated by the recent swearing-in of Trump adviser Stephen Miran to the Fed’s board, following a Senate confirmation.

Analysts believe Powell may encounter dissent on an expected quarter-percentage-point rate cut from both Trump-appointed officials and regional Fed presidents concerned about inflation.

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Potential Dissent

Trump has urged significant rate cuts and for the board to challenge Powell’s decisions.

Some analysts predict dissenting votes from Miran and other Trump appointees in favour of larger cuts. Federal Reserve veterans express concerns that political motivations may undermine the institution’s integrity, with indications that greater dissent could become commonplace.


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Money

RBA plans to ban credit card surcharges in Australia

Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards

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Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards.

In Short:
– The RBA plans to ban surcharges on debit and credit card transactions, supported by consumer group Choice.
– Major banks oppose the ban, warning it could lead to higher card fees and reduced rewards for credit card users.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) intends to implement a ban on surcharges associated with debit and credit card transactions. Consumer advocacy group Choice endorses this initiative, arguing that it is unjust for users of low-cost debit cards to incur similar fees as credit card holders.Banner

The major banks, however, are opposing this reform. They caution that the removal of surcharges could prompt customers to abandon credit cards due to diminished rewards.

A final decision by the RBA is anticipated by December 2025.


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