Money

Investor sentiment downturn pressures Australian sharemarket drop

Australian shares likely to drop as US inflation rises, Trump plans tariff escalation, mining stocks may offer some support.

Published

7 months ago

March 31, 2025

Ahron Young

Australian shares likely to drop as US inflation rises, Trump plans tariff escalation, mining stocks may offer some support.

In Short

Investor sentiment linked to US consumer inflation is set to negatively impact the Australian sharemarket, with an expected 1.1% decline before Donald Trump’s upcoming tariff escalation.

While major tech stocks suffered losses in the US, some positive movement in mining stocks may occur due to rising commodity prices.

Investor sentiment linked to the US consumer is impacting shares as the Australian sharemarket is expected to drop on Monday before Donald Trump’s Liberation Day, which will escalate the tariff war.

S&P/ASX 200 futures indicate a 1.1 per cent decline at the open after US markets fell on Friday due to a higher-than-expected inflation reading.

The S&P 500 dropped 2 per cent, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.7 per cent, and the Nasdaq decreased 2.7 per cent following the personal consumption expenditures index, which showed a 0.4 per cent increase in prices for February, rising to 2.8 per cent year-on-year.

This inflation figure coincided with US consumer confidence hitting a two-year low, negatively impacting market sentiment. Major technology stocks like Apple, Amazon, Google, and Microsoft faced significant losses.

Despite the expected pressure on the local market, some positive movement may occur in mining stocks, according to CommSec chief economist Ryan Felsman, as commodity prices rose on Friday. Gold futures hit record highs, while iron ore futures also increased.

New government forecasts predict modest growth in Australian resource and energy commodity export volumes over the next five years, with earnings expected to decline from $415bn in 2024 to $387bn in 2025.

Listed energy companies may face further pressure as oil prices decline amid global growth concerns. With inflation persisting in the US, Trump is preparing for tariffs starting on April 2. Lululemon shares plummeted 14 per cent recently due to economic concerns among shoppers.

The Reserve Bank’s rate-setting meeting on Tuesday is expected to keep the cash rate at 4.1 per cent following a reduction in February.

Money

Are we in an AI bubble or just a market reality check?

Tech stocks falter as AI boom faces reality; market shifts towards gold amidst growing investor caution.

Published

24 hours ago

November 6, 2025

Ahron Young

Tech stocks falter as AI boom faces reality; market shifts towards gold amidst growing investor caution.

Global tech stocks are losing altitude as investors question whether the AI boom has gone too far — or if the market is simply returning to earth after years of euphoric growth. With valuations for chipmakers and AI giants stretched to perfection, analysts warn that expectations may finally be colliding with economic reality.

In this segment, Brad Gastwirth from Circular Technologies joins us to unpack the trillion-dollar question: is this a healthy correction or the first crack in the AI gold rush? From hyperscaler capex surges to regulatory risks and fragile market leadership, he breaks down what’s driving investor nerves.

We also explore how the market rotation into gold and real assets reflects growing caution, and what this could mean for the future of AI-driven investing.

Subscribe to never miss an episode of Ticker – https://www.youtube.com/@weareticker

#AIBubble #TechStocks #MarketCorrection #Semiconductors #Investing #FinanceNews #AIStocks #TickerNews

Money

Inflation rise reduces chances of Reserve Bank rate cut

Inflation spikes, drastically reducing chances of a Reserve Bank rate cut amid economic pressures and rising costs

Published

1 week ago

October 29, 2025

ticker NEWS

Inflation spikes, drastically reducing chances of a Reserve Bank rate cut amid economic pressures and rising costs

In Short:
– Rate cut likelihood by the Reserve Bank has decreased due to a rise in annual inflation to 3.2 per cent.
– Significant price increases in housing, recreation, and transport are raising concerns for the Reserve Bank.

The likelihood of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank has decreased significantly after a surge in annual inflation.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that inflation for the year ending September rose to 3.2 per cent, reflecting a 1.1 per cent increase.

Trimmed mean inflation, a crucial measure for the Reserve Bank, was recorded at 1 per cent for the quarter and 3 per cent for the year. The bank anticipates inflation to reach 3 per cent by year-end, while trimmed mean inflation is expected to slightly decrease.

The quarterly rise of 1.3 per cent in September exceeded expectations. Governor Bullock noted that a deviation from the Reserve Bank’s projections could have material implications.

Financial markets reacted promptly, with the Australian dollar rising against the US dollar, while the ASX200 index fell.

The most significant price increases were observed in housing, recreation, and transport, indicating widespread price pressures that concern the Reserve Bank.

Despite the unexpected inflation rise, some economists believe the Reserve Bank may still consider rate cuts in December, viewing current price spikes as temporary due to the winding back of subsidies.

Economic Pressures

Broad-based economic pressures suggest that the Reserve Bank may not reduce interest rates at its upcoming meeting. Analysts highlight the need for ongoing support for households facing cost-of-living challenges.

Money

Wall Street hits record highs on low inflation

Wall Street hits record highs on cool inflation and strong earnings ahead of key Federal Reserve interest rate decision

Published

2 weeks ago

October 26, 2025

Ahron Young

Wall Street hits record highs on cool inflation and strong earnings ahead of key Federal Reserve interest rate decision

In Short:
– U.S. stocks rose to record highs on Friday due to lower inflation and strong corporate earnings.
– Key earnings reports from major companies are expected next week, influencing market trends.

U.S. stocks rose to record highs on Friday due to lower-than-expected inflation data and positive corporate earnings.The S&P 500 and Nasdaq achieved their largest weekly gains since August. The Dow saw its biggest jump from Friday to Friday since June.

The Labor Department reported that the Consumer Price Index was slightly cooler than analysts’ predictions, easing concerns about inflation impacts from tariffs. This development suggests a likely interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at its upcoming meeting.

Ryan Detrick from Carson Group noted the positive inflation news may facilitate forthcoming Fed rate cuts. Despite the ongoing government shutdown affecting data releases, this CPI report provided much-needed clarity.

Earnings reports are continuing, with 143 S&P 500 companies having reported results. Growth expectations for third-quarter earnings have risen to 10.4%. Detrick indicated a strong opening to the earnings season with a significant percentage of companies exceeding expectations.

This coming week, key earnings will be reported from Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Apple, alongside industrial companies like Caterpillar and Boeing.

The Dow rose 472.51 points to 47,207.12. The S&P 500 increased by 53.25 points to 6,791.69, while the Nasdaq gained 263.07 points, reaching 23,204.87.

Alphabet gained 2.7% following a deal expansion with Anthropic. Coinbase saw a 9.8% increase from a JPMorgan upgrade. In contrast, Deckers Outdoor’s shares fell 15.2% after lowering sales forecasts.