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Donald Trump wins New Hampshire

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Donald Trump won New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary election, further asserting his dominance over the party as he heads toward a likely November rematch with Democratic President Joe Biden.

With 14% of the expected vote tallied, according to Edison, Trump had 52.3% compared with 46.6% for former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, who had hoped the Northeastern state’s sizable cadre of independent voters would carry her to an upset win that might loosen Trump’s iron grip on the Republican Party.
Instead, Trump will become the first Republican to sweep competitive votes in both Iowa – where he won by a record-setting margin eight days ago – and New Hampshire since 1976, when the two states cemented their status as the first two nominating contests.
While the final margin was still unclear, the results will likely increase calls from some Republicans for Haley to drop out of the race, though her campaign vowed in a memo on Tuesday to push forward until “Super Tuesday” in early March, when 16 states vote on the same day.

South Carolina

The next contest is scheduled for Feb. 24 in South Carolina, where Haley was born and served two terms as governor.
Despite her ties, however, Trump has racked up endorsements from most of the state’s Republican figures, and opinion polls show him with a wide lead.
Haley finished third in Iowa, just behind Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, while focusing much of her early campaign on New Hampshire, where the more moderate electorate was expected to offer perhaps her best chance of winning a state over Trump.
“You just want to keep getting stronger and stronger and stronger. That’s our goal,” Haley said earlier in the day in Manchester.

First contest

New Hampshire was the first contest to feature a one-on-one matchup between Trump and Haley, after Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, once seen as Trump’s most formidable challenger, dropped out on Sunday and endorsed Trump.
Despite Trump’s win on Tuesday, however, exit polls hinted at his potential vulnerabilities in a general election campaign.
He faces four sets of criminal charges for a range of offenses, including his efforts to overturn his 2020 defeat and his retention of classified documents after leaving the White House in 2021.

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Wall St faces corporate earnings wave amid stock rally

Stocks rally faces earnings wave as investors wary of AI trade, Fed rate cuts, and weak labour market amid US shutdown

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Stocks rally faces earnings wave as investors wary of AI trade, Fed rate cuts, and weak labour market amid US shutdown

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In Short:
– U.S. stocks rally continues, raising concerns over AI trade and potential Fed interest rate changes.
– S&P 500 profits expected to rise 13.8%, but high market valuations create caution among investors.
U.S. stocks maintain a rally amid a busy week for corporate earnings, raising investor concerns over the strength of the artificial intelligence trade and potential Federal Reserve interest rate adjustments.The S&P 500 ended October with a 2.3% monthly increase and its sixth consecutive month of gains.

However, mixed results from major companies have cast doubt on future interest rate cuts after the Fed eased rates by a quarter point on Wednesday. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signalled that a cut at December’s meeting is uncertain, contrary to investor expectations.

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Third-quarter earnings have exceeded expectations, with S&P 500 profits projected to rise by 13.8% year-over-year. Over 130 companies are set to report results in the coming week.

Market Valuation

The S&P 500’s forward price-to-earnings ratio has exceeded 23, raising concerns about high market valuations reminiscent of the dot-com era. Analysts suggest earnings must support future stock returns given current valuation levels.

Historically, November is a strong month for stocks, averaging a gain of 1.87%. Future performance trends may indicate continued upward movement, as past instances show stocks often rise after substantial year-to-date gains.

With 44% of S&P 500 companies reporting, 83% have surpassed earnings expectations, signalling strong corporate performance despite challenges. Companies such as Meta Platforms and Microsoft saw share declines post-earnings due to increased spending on AI, while Alphabet’s stock rose amid positive sentiment regarding its cash flow management.

Investors maintain caution due to rising workforce reductions, particularly after Amazon announced a significant global workforce decrease. The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now the second longest in history, adds uncertainty as critical economic data releases are delayed.


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Ukraine targets and destroys key Russian fuel pipeline

Ukraine hits critical Russian fuel pipeline, delivering major logistics blow near Moscow during intensifying energy warfare

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Ukraine hits critical Russian fuel pipeline, delivering major logistics blow near Moscow during intensifying energy warfare

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In Short:
– Ukraine targeted and damaged the Koltsevoy fuel pipeline supplying Russian forces on October 31.
– Russian attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure escalated, resulting in civilian casualties.
Ukraine’s military intelligence has successfully targeted a key fuel pipeline supplying Russian forces near Moscow.
The attack damaged all three lines of the 400-kilometer Koltsevoy pipeline system, marking a significant setback for Russia’s military logistics.The action coincided with an escalation in Russian attacks against Ukrainian energy infrastructure, leading to multiple casualties from drone strikes that resulted in at least four civilian deaths and numerous injuries.

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The Main Intelligence Directorate (HUR) of Ukraine confirmed the operation specifically targeted the Koltsevoy pipeline located in Ramensky district. Despite robust security measures, the attack successfully disrupted a pipeline critical for transporting fuel to the Russian military.

HUR noted the pipeline had a substantial annual capacity, delivering millions of tons of jet fuel, diesel, and gasoline.

HUR chief Kyrylo Budanov stated that the damage inflicted was more substantial than international sanctions against Russia.

Energy Disruption

Ukraine’s strategy centers on disrupting Russian energy logistics to exert economic pressure. Ukraine’s forces have frequently targeted Russian fuel facilities, with officials claiming this approach is yielding greater success than economic sanctions.

Russian military actions against Ukraine intensified concurrently, with a reported 270 missile strikes in October and drone assaults resulting in significant civilian casualties.

The ongoing conflict has drawn international condemnation, particularly from the G7, which criticises Russia’s attacks as harmful to social and economic stability in Ukraine.


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How Gen Alpha are positioned to shape the future of education

Future of education: how Generation Alpha and engaged parents are shaping schools amid challenges and rapid change

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Future of education: how Generation Alpha and engaged parents are shaping schools amid challenges and rapid change

In Short:
– Future education involves increased parental engagement and adapting to technological changes for younger generations.
– Barriers to involvement include time constraints and poor communication from schools, impacting family-school relationships.
What does the future of education look like for parents and students?
On this episode of Beyond Education, Enquiry Tracker founder Greg Campitelli explores the evolving landscape of schooling with insights from Mark McCrindle, founder of McCrindle Research. McCrindle, a notable social analyst.
In the conversation, he noted significant shifts in education accessibility and the increasing need for parental involvement.
A recent study indicated that 83% of parents prioritise engagement in their children’s schooling, seeking to actively participate despite busy schedules. Parents are investing in education, valuing it highly while wanting to play a hands-on role.
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