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Hiring boom continues but sign of cooling labour market looms

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Despite a blockbuster hiring number, the latest labor market report has hinted at a gradual slowdown, sparking hopes for potential rate cuts to buoy the economy.

Unemployment inched higher to 3.9%, surpassing expectations, and wage growth decelerated. Revised data from January, initially touted as stellar, painted a less rosy picture.

The Federal Reserve, observing this Goldilocks scenario, sees merit in lowering interest rates later in the year, potentially injecting momentum into markets that have been on an upward trajectory in 2024.

Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank, summed up Friday’s report: “cool.”

He noted, “That’s what the Fed wants to see right now.”

Although stocks initially surged following the report, they ended the day in the red, stalling the S&P 500’s record-breaking streak.

The persistence of Treasury yields at recent lows signals investors’ anticipation of potential rate cuts in the near future.

In a significant move, the Labor Department revised previous employment data, downgrading January’s job addition from 353,000 to 229,000.

Hourly earnings

February saw a mere 0.1% increase in average hourly earnings compared to an anticipated 0.2%, marking a significant deceleration from January’s revised 0.5%.

These numbers, viewed against January’s red-hot figures, alleviate concerns of resurging price pressures.

Despite the upward trend in job creation, investors have grown increasingly confident in the U.S. economy’s resilience against the highest interest rates in over two decades, as evidenced by consistent job growth and historically low unemployment rates.

In his recent State of the Union address, President Biden hailed these economic achievements, foreseeing a smooth landing.

However, the pivotal issue facing both the economy and financial markets is timing.

The Fed’s challenge lies in balancing the risk of stunting economic growth with high rates against the potential inflationary impacts of premature rate cuts.

Ahron Young is an award winning journalist who has covered major news events around the world. Ahron is the Managing Editor and Founder of TICKER NEWS.

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Fed cuts rates, signals more potentially ahead

Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

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Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

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In Short:
– The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter-point to address job market concerns.
– Officials expect at least two additional rate cuts by year-end amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
The Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates by a quarter-point, addressing concerns about a weakening job market overshadowing inflation worries.
A majority of officials anticipate at least two additional cuts by year-end during the remaining meetings in October and December.Banner

Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted a significant shift in the labour market, highlighting “downside risk” in his statements.

The recent rate cut, supported by 11 of 12 Fed voters, aims to recalibrate an economy facing uncertainties from policy changes and market pressures.

Policy Dynamics

The decision comes amid intense political scrutiny, with President Trump openly criticising Powell’s reluctance to lower rates.

Despite the controversy, Powell asserts that political pressures do not influence Fed operations.

The current benchmark federal-funds rate now sits between 4% and 4.25%, the lowest since 2021, providing some reprieve to consumers and small businesses. Economic forecasts indicate ongoing complexities, including inflation trends and the impact of tariffs on labour dynamics, complicating future policy decisions.


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Fed faces unusual dissent amid leadership uncertainty

Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

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Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

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In Short:
– This week’s Federal Reserve meeting faces unusual dissent as Chair Powell approaches his term’s end.
– Analysts predict dissent over expected rate cuts due to political pressures from Trump-appointed officials.
This week’s Federal Reserve meeting is set to be particularly unusual, with Chair Jerome Powell facing significant disagreements over future policy as he approaches the end of his term in May.Tensions began before the meeting when Fed governor Lisa Cook won a court ruling allowing her to attend, despite opposition from President Trump, who is attempting to remove her.

The situation is further complicated by the recent swearing-in of Trump adviser Stephen Miran to the Fed’s board, following a Senate confirmation.

Analysts believe Powell may encounter dissent on an expected quarter-percentage-point rate cut from both Trump-appointed officials and regional Fed presidents concerned about inflation.

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Potential Dissent

Trump has urged significant rate cuts and for the board to challenge Powell’s decisions.

Some analysts predict dissenting votes from Miran and other Trump appointees in favour of larger cuts. Federal Reserve veterans express concerns that political motivations may undermine the institution’s integrity, with indications that greater dissent could become commonplace.


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RBA plans to ban credit card surcharges in Australia

Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards

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Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards.

In Short:
– The RBA plans to ban surcharges on debit and credit card transactions, supported by consumer group Choice.
– Major banks oppose the ban, warning it could lead to higher card fees and reduced rewards for credit card users.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) intends to implement a ban on surcharges associated with debit and credit card transactions. Consumer advocacy group Choice endorses this initiative, arguing that it is unjust for users of low-cost debit cards to incur similar fees as credit card holders.Banner

The major banks, however, are opposing this reform. They caution that the removal of surcharges could prompt customers to abandon credit cards due to diminished rewards.

A final decision by the RBA is anticipated by December 2025.


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