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Post Market Wrap | ResMed March quarter impacted by input cost inflation and higher freight costsPost Market Wrap |

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This Post Market Wrap is presented by KOSEC – Kodari Securities

  • Revenue up by 12 percent to US$864 million and income from operations up by 5 percent to US$253 million
  • Revenue and income results miss Bloomberg consensus estimates
  • Gross margin down by 1.4 percent
  • Selling, general and administrative expenses up US$22 million, or 14 percent to US$182 million
  • Cash flow impacted by US$285 million ATO settlement
  •  Balance sheet remains strong with US$1.9 billion in cash and drawdown availability  
  • Management confident that incremental revenue growth will recover in FY23.  

ResMed Inc (‘ResMed’ or the ‘Group’) is a global medical device business that develops, manufactures, distributes and markets medical devices. ResMed  also develops cloud-based software applications that diagnose, treat and manage respiratory disorders, including sleep disordered breathing, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and neuromuscular disease. Resmed’s comprehensive out-of-hospital software platforms are designed to assist caregivers and healthcare professionals keep people healthy in the home or care setting of their choice. The product suite includes air flow generators, diagnostic products and mask systems which are expected to help 250 million lives across 140 countries in 2025. 

Soft Gross Margin in March quarter FY22

ResMed increased revenue by 12 percent to US$864 million for the quarter, compared to the March 2021 quarter, and income from operations increased by 5 percent to US$253 million. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was up modestly from US$1.30 per share to US$1.32 per share. These numbers came in below market expectations, based on the important Bloomberg consensus estimates. The market was expecting stronger revenue growth, on the basis that ResMed would benefit from the recall of a competitor product in the US non-invasive ventilator market segment. This market share gain was less than anticipated by investors and can be attributed to ongoing semiconductor supply shortages. Semiconductors or micro-chips are an essential component of ResMed’s medical devices, including ventilators.  

The other disappointing aspect of the March quarter result was the 1.4 percent gross margin contraction to 56.8 percent at March 2022, from 58.2 percent at March 2021. The margindecline is attributable to higher freight and manufacturing costs, partially offset by an increase in average selling prices. A US$12/Euro12 device surcharge introduced in January 2022 has not been enough to offset the cost inflation and higher freight imposts that have emerged since the onset of the global COVID pandemic. Selling, general and administrative expenses increased by 14 percent to US$182 million, compared to the March 2021 quarter.This is an increase of US$22 million from a year ago. Clearly ResMed has not been able to avoid the input cost inflation pressures faced by manufacturers in all parts of the world in recent times.

US$285 million ATO settlement impacts cash flow

Cash from operating activities of US$272 million, for the 9 months to 31 March 2022, represents a decline of US$238 million from US$510 million generated in the previous corresponding 9 months.  The significant decline is primarily due to a US$285 million cash settlement with the Australian Taxation Office in the March quarter. This is the final instalment due to the ATO and follows payments of US$97 million in prior reporting periods, bringing the total amount to US$382 million. The settlement relates to transfer pricing irregularities between 2009 and 2018. The profit impact had previously been recognised in the prior financial year.  

ResMed retains a strong balance sheet and at 31 March had US$1.6 billion available for drawdown plus cash and cash equivalents of US$295 million. 

Looking Ahead

Management continues to refer to the extraordinary demand for sleep and respiratory care products around the globe with double-digit top line revenue growth expected for respiratory care products and high single-digit growth in its software-as-a-service business segment.

Despite the industry-specific and macro-economic environment uncertainty in recent times, demand from patients and healthcare providers remains resilient. Management remainsconfident that as supply chain logistical constraints, including semiconductor component shortages are overcome, lost incremental revenue will be recovered in FY23 and beyond.

This Post Market Wrap is presented by Kodari Securities, written by Michael Kodari, CEO at KOSEC.

"Michael Kodari is one of the world's most consistent, top performing investor. A philanthropist and one of the prominent experts of the financial markets, he has been referred to as ‘the brightest 21st century entrepreneur in wealth management' by CNBC Asia and featured on Forbes. Featured on TV as the "Money Expert", on the weekly Sunday program "Elevator Pitch", he is recognised internationally by governments as he was the guest of honour for the event "Inside China's Future", chosen by the Chinese government from the funds management industry, attended by industry leaders, when they arrived in Sydney Australia, on April 2014. Michael and George Soros were the only two financiers in the world invited and chosen by the Chinese government to provide advice, and their expertise on Chinese government asset allocation offshore. With a strong background in funds management and stockbroking, Michael has worked with some of the most successful investors and consulted to leading financial institutions. He was the youngest person ever to appear on the expert panel for Fox, Sky News Business Channel at the age of 25 where he demonstrated his skillset across a 3 year period forming the most consistent track record and getting all his predictions right over that period. Michael writes for key financial publications, is regularly interviewed by various media and conducts conferences around the world."

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Money

Research shows daters are looking for solvent partners

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As the cost-of-living crisis continues to grip Australia, new research reveals a shifting landscape in the realm of dating preferences.

According to the survey conducted by eharmony, an overwhelming two-thirds of Australians are now keen to understand their potential partner’s financial situation before committing to a serious relationship.

The findings indicate a growing trend where individuals are becoming more discerning about whom they invest their affections in, particularly as the economic pressures intensify.

Read more: Why are car prices so high?

The study highlights that nearly half of respondents (48%) consider a potential partner’s debts and income as crucial factors in determining whether to pursue a relationship.

Certain types of debt, such as credit card debt, payday loans, and personal loans, are viewed unfavorably by the vast majority of respondents, signaling a preference for partners who exhibit financial responsibility.

Good debt

While certain forms of debt, such as mortgages and student loans (e.g., HECS), are deemed acceptable or even ‘good’ debt by a majority of respondents, credit card debt, payday loans (such as Afterpay), and personal loans top the list of ‘bad’ debt, with 82%, 78%, and 73% of respondents, respectively, expressing concerns.

Interestingly, even car loans are viewed unfavorably by a significant portion of those surveyed, with 57.5% considering them to be undesirable debt.

Sharon Draper, a relationship expert at eharmony, said the significance of financial compatibility in relationships, noting that discussions around money are increasingly taking place at earlier stages of dating.

“In the past, couples tended to avoid discussing money during the early stages of dating because it was regarded as rude and potentially off-putting,” Draper explains.

“However, understanding each other’s perspectives and habits around finances early on can be instrumental in assessing long-term compatibility.”

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Money

US energy stocks surge amid economic growth and inflation fears

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Investors are turning to U.S. energy shares in droves, capitalizing on surging oil prices and a resilient economy while seeking protection against looming inflationary pressures.

The S&P 500 energy sector has witnessed a remarkable ascent in 2024, boasting gains of approximately 17%, effectively doubling the broader index’s year-to-date performance.

This surge has intensified in recent weeks, propelling the energy sector to the forefront of the S&P 500’s top-performing sectors.

A significant catalyst driving this rally is the relentless rise in oil prices. U.S. crude has surged by 20% year-to-date, propelled by robust economic indicators in the United States and escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Investors are also turning to energy shares as a hedge against inflation, which has proven more persistent than anticipated, threatening to derail the broader market rally.

Ayako Yoshioka, senior portfolio manager at Wealth Enhancement Group, notes that having exposure to commodities can serve as a hedge against inflationary pressures, prompting many portfolios to overweight energy stocks.

Shell Service Station

Shell Service Station

Energy companies

This sentiment is underscored by the disciplined capital spending observed among energy companies, particularly oil majors such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron.

Among the standout performers within the energy sector this year are Marathon Petroleum, which has surged by 40%, and Valero Energy, up by an impressive 33%.

As the first-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear, with reports from major companies such as Netflix, Bank of America, and Procter & Gamble, investors will closely scrutinize economic indicators such as monthly U.S. retail sales to gauge consumer behavior amidst lingering inflation concerns.

The rally in energy stocks signals a broadening of the U.S. equities rally beyond growth and technology companies that dominated last year.

However, escalating inflation expectations and concerns about a hawkish Federal Reserve could dampen investors’ appetite for non-commodities-related sectors.

Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel Corp., highlights investors’ focus on the robust economy amidst supply bottlenecks in commodities, especially oil.

This sentiment is echoed by strategists at Morgan Stanley and RBC Capital Markets, who maintain bullish calls on energy shares, citing heightened geopolitical risks and strong economic fundamentals.

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Money

How Australians lose nearly $1 billion to card scammers in a year

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A recent study by Finder has unveiled a distressing trend: Australians are hemorrhaging money to card scams at an alarming rate.

The survey, conducted among 1,039 participants, painted a grim picture, with 2.2 million individuals – roughly 11% of the population – falling prey to credit or debit card skimming in 2023 alone.

The financial toll of these scams is staggering. On average, victims lost $418 each, amounting to a colossal $930 million collectively across the country.

Rebecca Pike, a financial expert at Finder, underscored the correlation between the surge in digital transactions and the proliferation of sophisticated scams.

“Scammers are adapting, leveraging sophisticated tactics that often mimic trusted brands or exploit personal connections. With digital transactions on the rise, it’s imperative for consumers to remain vigilant and proactive in safeguarding their financial assets,” Pike said.

Read more – How Google is cracking down on scams

Concerning trend

Disturbingly, Finder’s research also revealed a concerning trend in underreporting.

Only 9% of scam victims reported the incident, while 1% remained oblivious to the fraudulent activity initially. Additionally, 1% of respondents discovered they were victims of bank card fraud only after the fact, highlighting the insidious nature of these schemes.

Pike urged consumers to exercise heightened scrutiny over their financial statements, recommending frequent monitoring for any unauthorised transactions.

She explained the importance of leveraging notification services offered by financial institutions to promptly identify and report suspicious activity.

“Early detection is key. If you notice any unfamiliar transactions, don’t hesitate to contact your bank immediately. Swift action can mitigate further unauthorised use of your card,” Pike advised, underscoring the critical role of proactive measures in combating card scams.

As Australians grapple with the escalating threat of card fraud, Pike’s counsel serves as a timely reminder of the necessity for heightened vigilance in an increasingly digitised financial landscape.

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